{"id":1248,"date":"2026-03-29T14:20:49","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T12:20:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geo-decrypt.eu\/?p=1248"},"modified":"2026-03-29T14:20:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T12:20:51","slug":"deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geo-decrypt.eu\/index.php\/2026\/03\/29\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\/","title":{"rendered":"Deciphering the 15th Five Year Plan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The National People\u2019s Congress in its March 2026 session approved China\u2019s 15th Five Year Plan, spanning 2026-2030. However, this plan acts in great continuity with the 14th, and even the 13th Plan; and integrate greatly the \u201cguidance\u201d provided by the central committee of the communist party last October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Plan still has targets, such as for GDP growth, growth in spending on research and development, air pollution, etc. But most of these targets are indicative. Only 1\/3 of the indicators in the table of key indicators are mandatory. Breaking the indicators down into the categories suggests a growing emphasis on innovation and people\u2019s livelihoods, and somewhat less focus on the environment. Notably, a new indicator of the carbon intensity of the economy was introduced in the 15th plan, replacing an indicator of energy intensity. This indicator links well to the government\u2019s \u201ctwin carbon\u201d goal: peaking before 2030, and net zero by 2060.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another evolution visible is the lack of GDP growth, which is no longer a real target since the last plan. The plan merely mentions that growth should be maintained \u201cwithin a reasonable range\u201d and emphasises a policy shift away from simply growth to what the authorities now dub \u201cHigh Quality Development.\u201d This last aspect represents the overarching objective of the Plan and is defined as being innovative, coordinated, green, open and shared. This concept is embedded in  the \u201cNew Development Philosophy or Paradigm, which includes Supply-side structural reforms, the New Quality Productive Forces, Dual Circulation, Common Prosperity, and Ecological Civilisation, elements that were included over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, the plan shows a strong emphasis on innovation and technology, reduced emphasis on reform and opening (and market development), and still limited attention to \u00ab\u00a0people first\u00a0\u00bb and common prosperity. The Plan also suggests a stronger emphasis on basic research and a stronger link between technological innovation and growth. The link is foremost the \u201cModern Industrial System,\u201d a new term to the 5-year Plan, but which had been circulating for some time. The greater adoption of technology and a more unified market should, in the Plan\u2019s philosophy, lead to higher productivity. Labour productivity is, as in the past plans, included as a key indicator. \u201cTotal factor productivity,\u201d a concept that refers to the overall efficiency of resource use in a society, is considered a key objective, and has been mentioned several times by Xi Jinping in his speeches.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National People\u2019s Congress in its March 2026 session approved China\u2019s 15th Five Year Plan, spanning 2026-2030. However, this plan acts in great continuity with the 14th, and even the 13th Plan; and integrate greatly the \u201cguidance\u201d provided by the central committee of the communist party last October. The Plan still has targets, such as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"saved_in_kubio":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Deciphering the 15th Five Year Plan - Geo-Decrypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/geo-decrypt.eu\/index.php\/2026\/03\/29\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\/\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/29\\\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/29\\\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Willemot A.\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2fb1818bf36269d02e3221869a618305\"},\"headline\":\"Deciphering the 15th Five Year Plan\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-29T12:20:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-29T12:20:51+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/29\\\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":403,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"China\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/29\\\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geo-decrypt.eu\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/29\\\/deciphering-the-15th-five-year-plan\\\/\",\"name\":\"Deciphering the 15th Five Year Plan - 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It was used extensively particularly in the 1987 book \"The Emigrants' Dream - The China Dream (Qiao zhi Meng - Zhongguo\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/geo-decrypt.eu\/index.php\/category\/china\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1238,"url":"https:\/\/geo-decrypt.eu\/index.php\/2026\/03\/26\/american-strategic-thinking-and-taiwans-role\/","url_meta":{"origin":1248,"position":5},"title":"American strategic thinking and Taiwan\u2019s role","author":"Willemot A.","date":"26 mars 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"From the American perspective, the geopolitical tradition emphasises control of the Eurasian coastline to prevent the rise of a continental power capable of gaining unhindered access to the oceans and major sea lanes. 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