This section brings together Geo-Decrypt’s long-form analyses, in-depth articles that go beyond the headlines to examine the structural forces, historical roots, and strategic dynamics shaping today’s world. Each piece is designed to give you not just context, but interpretation: why an event matters, what it reveals about the balance of power, and what it might mean for the weeks and months ahead.
Deciphering the 15th Five Year Plan
The National People’s Congress in its March 2026 session approved China’s 15th Five Year Plan, spanning 2026-2030. However, this plan acts in great continuity with the 14th, and even the 13th Plan; and integrate greatly the “guidance” provided by the central committee of the communist party last[…]
The rise of China’s strike capabilities
The shift in the balance of power in the Strait can be seen, in particular, through the prism of missile threats and missile defence, a key aspect of the current security balance. China has developed a long-range strike capability, both conventional and nuclear, which is profoundly transforming[…]
Chinese military pressure and grey-zone operations
Deterrence in the Strait has long rested on Beijing’s inability to challenge by force the political separation between mainland China and Taiwan. The rapid modernisation of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), combined with the intensification of its manoeuvres around the island, now presents Taiwan and the United[…]
American strategic thinking and Taiwan’s role
From the American perspective, the geopolitical tradition emphasises control of the Eurasian coastline to prevent the rise of a continental power capable of gaining unhindered access to the oceans and major sea lanes. From this perspective, China is seen as the main adversary, whilst Russia is viewed[…]
China and the ‘circle of friends’
The almost permanent presence of the Chinese air force and navy in Taiwan’s air defence identification zone, regular air and naval force crossings of the median line that separates the Taiwan Strait into two tacit zones of control, large-scale military exercises at short intervals: since 2019, Chinese[…]
China’s Gray Zone Approach Strategy for Taiwan
In recent years, China has significantly escalated pressure on Taiwan, with Chinese military ships and aircraft frequently operating in Taiwan’s vicinity, sparking concerns of potential conflict. However, experts suggest that rather than launching a full-scale invasion, China might employ a « gray zone » strategy—using a quarantine to assert[…]
Escalating Tensions in the Korean Peninsula
In this article, we will explore the recent events, the underlying motivations, and potential future developments in both inter-Korean and US-North Korea relations.
Xi Jinping’s « Chinese dream »
Historical Roots of the « Chinese Dream » Although Xi Jinping first mentioned it in 2012, the roots of this concept of this concept go back to a much earlier period. It was used extensively particularly in the 1987 book « The Emigrants’ Dream – The China Dream (Qiao zhi[…]
China’s Exported Ideology
Abstract The concept of fuxing, or national renaissance, lies at the heart of Xi Jinping’s governance vision. While originally framed as a domestic project of rejuvenation, fuxing has been reframed into an exportable ideology: a model of state-led development, stability, and sovereignty. This article examines how China[…]
From the “Chinese Dream” to the “Asian Security Concept”
When Xi Jinping first articulated the “Chinese Dream” in 2012, it was primarily a domestic slogan designed to inspire national rejuvenation, reinforce the Chinese Communist Party’s legitimacy, and project optimism about China’s economic and social future. Over time, however, this vision has expanded beyond China’s borders. It[…]
After election : What Taiwanese strategy by China until 2028 ?
The almost permanent presence of the Chinese air force and navy in Taiwan’s air defence identification zone, regular air and naval force crossings of the median line that separates the Taiwan Strait into two tacit zones of control, large-scale military exercises at short intervals: since 2019, Chinese[…]